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The São Paulo School of Advanced Science on Climate Change: Scientific basis, adaptation, vulnerability and mitigation was held on 03 to 15 July 2017 at the University de São Paulo (USP), São Paulo, Brazil. The School was organized by the Interdisciplinary Climate Investigation Center (INCLINE) and the Inter-American Institute for Global Change Research (IAI), and sponsored by the São Paulo Research Foundation (FAPESP), Pró Reitoria de Pesquisa/University of São Paulo (PRP/USP), IAI and Santander.
Costa de Marfil
Egypt
“Strategy for integrated assessment of climate change impacts on Nexus (water, food and energy) in arid area”
Etiopía
Kenya
Nigeria
South Africa
“An integrated approach for improving adaptation of smallholder production systems to climate variability: evidence from horticultural production in Ghana”
Argentina
“Remote effects in the south-eastern South America climate of land use change”
“High-resolution information system for space-time integration of greenhouse gases and air pollutants emissions”
Brazil
“Water governace in the macrometropole Paulista area in the climate changing context”
“Paleohydrology reconstruction of the tropical South America for the past 1.6 million years”
“Climate change and its impacts in the rainfall and precipitating systems over the Amazon basin”
“Elemental composition of atmospheric aerosol particles in the GoAmazon experiment”
“Economic aspects of forest restoration policy in Brazil: an ex-post evaluation at the state level”
“Sugarcane crop as emission source of reactive nitrogen compounds and its role in the environment”
“Climate change as a cross-cutting theme in coastal management: case study of the Santos micro-region, São Paulo”
“Adaptation to hydrological extremes through insurance: a financial fund simulation model under changing scenarios”
“Evaluation of climate variability and temperature extremes in the Colombian Andes region”
“Analysis of climatic variations in Potiguar basin from temporary series and remote sensing techniques”
“Simulating the impact of climate change and adaptive management on maize yield in Diamantino – MT, Brazil”
“Study of the absorption properties of brown carbon and black carbon using remote sensing (AERONET and AURA) and in situ measurements in the Amazon”
“Forecast of extreme precipitation events in São Paulo using neural networks”
“Proyecciones de los efectos del cambio climático sobre los caudales en una cuenca agrícola” (en inglés)
“Anthropogenic disturbances in tropical reservoirs: emergent pollutants modeling environmental facts”
“Relationship between the thermal variation, its predictability and the upper thermal limits of anuran larvae: an integrative approach”
“Evaluation of the Eta simulations nested with two global climate models to drought assessment of São Paulo”
“Bioclimatic processes and vegetation responses under climate change scenarios in the southern Espinhaço mountains (Brazil)”
“High spatial variability of diffusive carbon dioxide and methane emission in three tropical reservoirs”
“The assessment of Brazil’s power generation through wind and water resources based on long-term climate data analysis”
“Climate change effects on bird diversity in Pará, Brazil based on ecological niche modeling”
“Water partitioning in a Cerrado area and its importance to the water resources maintenance”
“Prioritizing landscapes for conservation under climate change”
“Climate change and bio-concretes in buildings: development of low carbon materials for façade panels”
“Simulating a response from a rainforest ecosystem in eastern Amazonia to the RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 scenarios”
“Future climate change scenarios and cultural landscapes in the mixed ombrophilous forest in southern Brazil. Different approaches targeting preservation of Araucaria angustifolia“
“Effects of pasture-sugarcane conversion and pasture intensification in the soil microbial community associated to nitrogen cycle”
“Assessment of future climate impacts on agriculture in the Brazilian semiarid”
“Land use and land cover changes and its implications for local and regional climate change: perceptions and challenges for mitigation and adaptation actions”
“Climate change impacts on Cassava yield and mitigation measures for the Brazilian semi-arid zone”
“Climate change and renewable energy law in Brazil in the context of the Anthropocene”
“Geotechnology use for enhancement of the emissions estimates and greenhouse gases removal in bioma Caatinga”
“The feasibility of sustainable development and socioeconomic inclusion in watershed protection and restoration areas”
“The transport of dust from the Sahara desert to the central Amazon determined with in situ measurements in the ATTO/ZF2 towers and remote sensing”
“Coupling of equatorial Atlantic surface stratification to glacial shifts in the tropical rain belt”
“Desertification processes associated with pasture in Chile for present and future climate”
“Speleothem record for the last 100 kyr from Colombia, relationship of ITCZ Shift and Paleorainfall”
“Influence of the Madden-Julian Oscillation on intraseasonal rainfall over the Amazon basin”
“Agriculture productivity, international trade and food security: some implications from a greater productivity in Brazil”
“Climate change impact over stock prices – does the relation exist and can it be smoothed by investments in innovation?”
Canada
“Late Holocene limnological and environmental reconstruction of lake Siscunsí and its watershed, Colombia (South America)”
Chile
“Recent two-fold increase in the frequency of hydrological extremes in Amazonia”
“Weather index-based crop insurance as an adaptation strategy to climate change in Chile”
Colombia
“Mathematical model for predicting the generation of methane and carbon dioxide in the Topocoro reservoir”
Costa Rica
Cuba
“Application of the GFS/NCEP model outputs in agrometeorological prediction”
EE.UU.
“Assessing the vertical structure of the east Pacific ITCZ using the Cloudsat CPR and TRMM PR”
Guatemala
“Intraseasonal variability of rainfall in the South region of Guatemala during the years 1980 – 2015 influenced by the Madden-Julian Oscillation”
Jamaica
Mexico
Peru
Uruguay
“Energy and economic efficiency in pastoral milk production systems under alternative intensification strategies”
Venezuela
“Spatio-temporal Bayesian modelling of hydrometeorological risk in Venezuela”
“Rivers conservation in Venezuela under climate change scenarios”
Bangladesh
India
TurkeyMonday, July 3rd
Tuesday, July 4th
Wednesday, July 5th
Thursday, July 6th
Friday, July 7th
Monday, July 10th
Tuesday, July 11th
Thursday, July 13th
Friday, July 14th
Saturday, July 15th
General instructions and guide (logistic) – (PDF)
Complete information: the School, program, speakers, participants, local map (PDF)
The course was organized around five major themes:
(1) Observations and future projections (scientific basis);
(2) Impacts;
(3) Vulnerability;
(4) Adaptation and mitigation; and
(5) the Paris Agreement: Are 1.5 degrees a reasonable limit?
The 2-week course included theoretical classes, work in groups, a poster session, science-policy discussions, and visits to key institutions in the State of São Paulo conducting climate change research with policy applications.
Specific topics:
– Introduction: indicators of climate change and treatment of uncertainties;
– Observations: atmosphere, ocean and surface;
– Detection and attribution of climate change: from global to regional;
– Information from paleoclimate archives;
– Evaluation of climate models & tendencies;
– Impacts of modes of climate variability: monsoon, ENSO, annular modes;
– Urban areas in the global change context;
– Natural and managed resources and systems, and their uses (freshwater resources; coastal systems and low-lying areas; food security and food production systems);
– Human health, well-being, and security (human health: impacts, adaptation, and co-benefits; human security; livelihoods and poverty);
– Adaptation (adaptation needs and options; adaptation planning and implementation; adaptation opportunities, constraints, and limits; economics of adaptation);
– Agriculture, forests and other land uses;
– Consequences on ecosystem functioning and ecosystem services provision;
– Drivers, trends, and mitigation;
– Energy systems;
– The Paris Agreement: Are 1.5°C a reasonable limit? – a debate.
Adefunke Fadilat Olawunmi Ayinde
Adriana Ferrer Martins
Adriana Giuliante Pompetti
Alex Zizinga
Alexandre do Nascimento Souza
Allan Sandes de Oliveira
Álvaro Javier Ávila Díaz
Amanda Gerotto
Amanda Rehbein
André Araújo Bürger
Andrea Soledad Enriquez
Anna Bobrik
Anthony Andre Victor Schrapffer
Anubhab Pattanayak
Befikadu Esayas Amphune
Bruno Santos de Souza
Carlos Eduardo Menezes da Silva
Carolina Gomes da Rocha
Cauê Dias Carrilho
Celmira Gabriela Saravia Tomasina
Cíntia Alvim Lage
Claudio Roberto Anholetto Junior
Dagne Boudet Rouco
Daniel Hugo Flores Caballero
Danielle Almeida de Carvalho
Débora Souza Alvim
Decker Guzmán Zabalaga
Denis Dorighello Tomás
Desiree Eglee Villalta
Diego Alejandro Guzmán Arias
Doris Jimena Roncancio Benitez
Eduardo Enrique Llanos García
Ewerton Bruno Brito de Araújo
Ezequiel Martín Arrieta
Fabiana Rita do Couto Santos
Fabiani Denise Bender
Farirai Rusere
Fátima Antonethe Castaneda Mena
Fernando Gonçalves Morais
Florencia Rositano
Gabriel Martins Palma Perez
Gabriela Chiquito Gesualdo
Gabrielle Rabelo Quadra
Gustavo Adolfo Agudelo Cantero
Hakki Baltaci
Haytham Mohamed Salem Mohamed
Heloisa Ramos Pereira
Isabel Marques da Silva
Ismabel María Domínguez Hurtado
Jacob Sullivan Diamond
Javed Akhter
Jenny Sofía Gómez Guerrero
João Francisco Ferreira Sobreiro
Jonathan Eligio Barichivich Henriquez
José Reinaldo Paranaíba Vilela Alves Teixeira
José Vitor Pereira Miguel
Juan Carlos Farias Pardo
Juan Marcos Calle Fernandez
Katharyn Helen Duffy
Khalid Md Bahauddin
Larissa de Souza Noel Simas
Leonardo de Sousa Miranda
Lidia Huaman Chuquihuaccha
Lidong Zou
Lívia Malacarne Pinheiro Rosalem
Luara Tourinho de Oliveira Pereira
Lucas Roecker Lazarin
Lucas Rosse Caldas
Luciana Cristina de Sousa Vieira
Luis Alejandro Builes Jaramillo
Luis Eduardo Herrera Aztegui
Malan Ketcha Armand Kablan
María Agostina Bracalenti
Maria Cristina Oliveira Souza
Mariana Delgado Barbieri
Mário Sérgio Muniz Tagliari
Maristela Calvente Morais
Mary Omolara Oloyede
Meimalin Caribay Moreno Villalobos
Melissa Ruíz Vázquez
Michelle Simões Reboita
Minella Alves Martins
Mohamed Farig Saad Ragab
Mônica de Andrade
Nádia Costa Pontes
Nathália Cristina Costa do Nascimento
Nathália Duarte Braz Vieira
Paola de Figueiredo Bongiovani
Paola Gimenes Bueno
Paris Francisco Rivera Ramos
Paula Galbiatti Silveira
Pieter de Jong
Portia Adade Williams
Rachel Scrivani da Silva
Rafael Gonçalves Santos
Rafael Rodrigues da Silva
Raquel Henriques Melo Santos
Rayner Monteiro dos Santos
Rodrigo Alberto Castillo Rodríguez
Rodrigo da Costa Portilho Ramos
Rosa Carolina Zamora Aguirre
Roxann Kato-neil Brown
Sabrina Regmi
Sara de Jesus Duarte
Sarah Nunes Jansen
Sebastián Cesar Diez
Sergio Alejandro Ibarra Espinosa
Vanesa Cristina Pántano
Veronica Marcela Ramirez Ruiz
Victor Ongoma Nanjing
Victor Raul Chavez Mayta
Vinícius de Almeida Vale
Vinícius Leonardo Loureiro Morrone
Walter Hugo Diaz Pinaya
Wilian França Costa
Yanet Díaz Esteban
Yawovi Séna Koglo
Yunuén Temoltzin Loranca
Zahylis Zambrano
Christopher Kutarna
Cristiano Mazur Chiessi
Edwin Castellanos
Gerardo Perillo
Holm Tiessen
Inés Camilloni
Iracema F. A. Cavalcanti
José A. Marengo
José Paruelo
Maria Carmen Lemos
Maria de Fatima Andrade
Stefan Uhlenbrook
Weber Antônio Neves do AmaralJose Marengo
– The IPCC’s Fifth Assessment Report: What’s in it for Latin America?
– Turn down the heat: climate extremes, regional impacts, and the case for resilience (Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research and Climate Analytics, 2013)
– Herring, S. C., M. P. Hoerling, T. C. Peterson, and P. A. Stott, Eds., 2014: Explaining Extreme Events of 2013 from a Climate Perspective. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 95 (9), S1–S96.
– Herring, S. C., M. P. Hoerling, J. P. Kossin, T. C. Peterson, and P. A. Stott, Eds., 2015: Explaining Extreme Events of 2014 from a Climate Perspective. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 96 (12), S1–S172.
– Herring, S. C., A. Hoell, M. P. Hoerling, J. P. Kossin, C. J. Schreck III, and P. A. Stott, Eds., 2016: Explaining Extreme Events of 2015 from a Climate Perspective. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 97 (12), S1–S145.
Cristiano M. Chiessi
– Understanding Quaternary climatic change (Lowe et al. 2017)
– Information from Paleoclimate Archives (Masson-Delmotte et al. 2013)
Iracema F. de Albuquerque Cavalcanti
– Collins, W. J., Bellouin, N., Doutriaux-Boucher, M., Gedney, N., Halloran, P., Hinton, T., Hughes, J., Jones, C. D., Joshi, M., Liddicoat, S., Martin, G., O’Connor, F., Rae, J., Senior, C., Sitch, S., Totterdell, I., Wiltshire, A., and Woodward, S.: Development and evaluation of an Earth-System model – HadGEM2, Geosci. Model Dev., 4, 1051-1075.
– Jiang, J. H., et al. (2012), Evaluation of cloud and water vapor simulations in CMIP5 climate models using NASA “A-Train” satellite observations, J. Geophys. Res., 117, D14105, doi:10.1029/2011JD017237.
– Mehran, A., A. AghaKouchak, and T. J. Phillips (2014), Evaluation of CMIP5 continental precipitation simulations relative to satellite-based gauge-adjusted observations, J. Geophys. Res. Atmos., 119, 1695–1707, doi:10.1002/2013JD021152.
– Sillmann, J., V. V. Kharin, X. Zhang, F. W. Zwiers, and D. Bronaugh (2013), Climate extremes indices in the CMIP5 multimodel ensemble: Part 1. Model evaluation in the present climate, J. Geophys. Res. Atmos., 118, 1716–1733, doi:10.1002/jgrd.50203.
– Voldoire, A., Sanchez-Gomez, E., Salas y Mélia, D. et al. Clim Dyn (2013) 40: 2091. doi:10.1007/s00382-011-1259-y
– IPCC, 2013: Annex I: Atlas of Global and Regional Climate Projections Supplementary Material RCP8.5 [van Oldenborgh, G.J., M. Collins, J. Arblaster, J.H. Christensen, J. Marotzke, S.B. Power, M. Rummukainen and T. Zhou (eds.)]. In: Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Stocker, T.F., D. Qin, G.-K. Plattner, M. Tignor, S.K. Allen, J. Boschung, A. Nauels, Y. Xia, V. Bex and P.M. Midgley (eds.)]. Available from www.climatechange2013.org and www.ipcc.ch.
– Flato, G., J. Marotzke, B. Abiodun, P. Braconnot, S.C. Chou, W. Collins, P. Cox, F. Driouech, S. Emori, V. Eyring, C. Forest, P. Gleckler, E. Guilyardi, C. Jakob, V. Kattsov, C. Reason and M. Rummukainen, 2013: Evaluation of Climate Models. In: Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Stocker, T.F., D. Qin, G.-K. Plattner, M. Tignor, S.K. Allen, J. Boschung, A. Nauels, Y. Xia, V. Bex and P.M. Midgley (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA.
– Collins, M., R. Knutti, J. Arblaster, J.-L. Dufresne, T. Fichefet, P. Friedlingstein, X. Gao, W.J. Gutowski, T. Johns, G. Krinner, M. Shongwe, C. Tebaldi, A.J. Weaver and M. Wehner, 2013: Long-term Climate Change: Projections, Commitments and Irreversibility. In: Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Stocker, T.F., D. Qin, G.-K. Plattner, M. Tignor, S.K. Allen, J. Boschung, A. Nauels, Y. Xia, V. Bex and P.M. Midgley (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA.
– Christensen, J.H., K. Krishna Kumar, E. Aldrian, S.-I. An, I.F.A. Cavalcanti, M. de Castro, W. Dong, P. Goswami, A. Hall, J.K. Kanyanga, A. Kitoh, J. Kossin, N.-C. Lau, J. Renwick, D.B. Stephenson, S.-P. Xie and T. Zhou, 2013: Climate Phenomena and their Relevance for Future Regional Climate Change. In: Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Stocker, T.F., D. Qin, G.-K. Plattner, M. Tignor, S.K. Allen, J. Boschung, A. Nauels, Y. Xia, V. Bex and P.M. Midgley (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA.
Maria de Fatima Andrade
– Hoornweg, D., Sugar, L. Trejos Gomez, C.L. 2011. Cities and greenhouse gas emissions: moving forward. Environment and Urbanization. Vol 23(2). doi:10.1177/0956247810392270
– Lamarque, J.-F., Bond, T. C., Eyring, V., Granier, C., Heil, A., Klimont, Z., Lee, D., Liousse, C., Mieville, A., Owen, B., Schultz, M. G., Shindell, D., Smith, S. J., Stehfest, E., Van Aardenne, J., Cooper, O. R., Kainuma, M., Mahowald, N., McConnell, J. R., Naik, V., Riahi, K., and van Vuuren, D. P.: Historical (1850–2000) gridded anthropogenic and biomass burning emissions of reactive gases and aerosols: methodology and application, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 10, 7017-7039, doi:10.5194/acp-10-7017-2010, 2010.
– B.R. Gurjar, T.M. Butler, M.G. Lawrence, J. Lelieveld, Evaluation of emissions and air quality in megacities, Atmospheric Environment, Volume 42, Issue 7, 2008, Pages 1593-1606, ISSN 1352-2310.
– Janusz Cofala, Markus Amann, Zbigniew Klimont, Kaarle Kupiainen, Lena Höglund-Isaksson, Scenarios of global anthropogenic emissions of air pollutants and methane until 2030, Atmospheric Environment, Volume 41, Issue 38, 2007, Pages 8486-8499, ISSN 1352-2310.
– Butler Timothy M., Lawrence Mark G. (2009) The influence of megacities on global atmospheric chemistry: a modelling study. Environmental Chemistry 6, 219-225.Butler Timothy M., Lawrence Mark G. (2009) The influence of megacities on global atmospheric chemistry: a modelling study. Environmental Chemistry 6, 219-225.
– J. Jason West , Steven J. Smith ,Raquel A. Silva Vaishali Naik Yuqiang Zhang Zachariah Adelman Meridith M. Fry Susan Anenberg Larry W. Horowitz Jean-Francois Lamarque. Co-benefits of mitigating global greenhouse gas emissions for future air quality and human health. Nature Climate Change 3, 885–889 (2013) doi:10.1038/nclimate2009.
– V.Ramanathan, G. Carmichael. Global and regional climate changes due to black carbono. Nature Geoscience 1, 221 – 227 (2008). doi:10.1038/ngeo156.
– Bond, T. C., et al. (2013), Bounding the role of black carbon in the climate system: A scientific assessment, J. Geophys. Res. Atmos., 118, 5380–5552, doi:10.1002/jgrd.50171.
– www.c40cities.org/cities
– http://www.wri.org/our-work/project/world-resources-report
– http://edgar.jrc.ec.europa.eu/htap.php
– https://earthobservatory.nasa.gov
– http://www.who.int/sustainable-development/cities/health-risks/air-pollution/en/
Gerardo M. E. Perillo
– Perillo, G. M.E. 1995. Definitions and geomorphologic classifications of estuaries. In Geomorphology and Sedimentology of Estuaries, G. M. E. Perillo (ed.). Amsterdam: Elsevier, 17-47.
– Coastal Wetlands: A Synthesis
– Perillo G. M.E. and Piccolo M. C. 2011. Global Variability in Estuaries and Coastal Settings. In Treatise on Estuarine and Coastal Science. Waltham: Academic Press, 7–36.
– Syvitski, J., et al. 2005. Dynamics of the coastal zone. Coastal Fluxes in the anthropocene, 39-94.
– Zilio, M. I., London, S., Perillo, G. M., & Piccolo, M. C. 2013. The social cost of dredging: the Bahia Blanca Estuary case. Ocean & coastal management, 71, 195-202.xxxxxx
– Zilio, M. I., Alfonso, M. B., Ferrelli, F., Perillo, G. M., & Piccolo, M. C. 2017. Ecosystem services provision, tourism and climate variability in shallow lakes: The case of La Salada, Buenos Aires, Argentina. Tourism Management, 62, 208-217.
– London, S., et al. 2017. Characterization of an artisanal fishery SES in Argentina using the Ostrom’s framework. International Journal of the Commons, 11, 1-69.
– Cisneros, M. A. H., Sarmiento, N. V. R., Delrieux, C. A., Piccolo, M. C., & Perillo, G. M. 2016. Beach carrying capacity assessment through image processing tools for coastal management. Ocean & Coastal Management, 130, 138-147.
– Waylen, K. 2015. Can scenario-planning support community-based natural resource management? Experiences from three countries in Latin America. Ecology and Society, 20.
Stefan Uhlenbrook
– 2016 UN World water development report, water and jobs
– 2017 UN world water development report, wastewater: The untapped resource
Maria Carmen Lemos
– Differentiating capacities as a means to sustainable climate change adaptation (Eakin et al. 2014)
– Case Study and Analogue Methodologies in Climate Change Vulnerability Research (Ford et al. 2010)
– Linking development to climate adaptation: Leveraging generic and specific capacities to reduce vulnerability to drought in NE Brazil (Lemos et al. 2016)
Christopher E. Kutarna
– Short essay: Pessimism is rife, optimism naive. Activism is the best tool for now

The School aims to contribute to the training of graduate students in the area of climate change. The school will foster the exchange of knowledge from many disciplines and sectors, among the participants and with School lecturers and organizers. It will also promote the development of collaborative networks to gather a critical mass of young scientists interested in climate change and its impacts on ecosystems and society.
Environmental research is complex and involves a variety of topics, such as water, land, biodiversity, pollution, food security. Climate change adds to the complexity and enhances the discussion of environmental problems. It requires more comprehensive and interdisciplinary studies to aid decision-making and actions needed for the benefit of the planet and society. Because of its overarching importance, climate change has been constantly in the public eye, especially since the creation of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)in 1988. Programs have been established to foster climate change studies in many countries. Examples of research programs on climate change in Brazil are: FAPESP Research Program on Global Climate Change (RPGCC), the Brazilian Research Network on Global Climate Change (Rede Clima), el Panel Brasileño sobre Cambio Climático (PBMC), the Brazilian Panel on Climate Change (PBMC), and the INCT for Climate Change (INCT-MC). In the Brazilian academic field, research groups, such as INCLINE, have contributed to the discussion of climate change sciences with contributions from many scientists and universities in the country.
To provide graduate students with advanced knowledge on climate change science and related topics: Observations and future projections; impacts; vulnerability; adaptation and mitigation; and the Paris Agreement: how to reach the 1.5°C target, including aspects of public policy. Participants will discuss with renowned scientists important themes of the three IPCC Fifth Assessment Report Working Groups, in a multidisciplinary and multicultural context.
If you need further information:
✉ incline@model.iag.usp.br
☎ +55 (11) 3091-2852 (Lívia Dutra, Executive Secretariat)
Website: http://inclineusp.wixsite.com/spsascc/